非洲雄獅崛起 媲美亞洲老虎
2014-08-11
轉載自由電子報 編譯盧永山／特譯
彭博報導，過去20年非洲經濟強勁成長，這個過去貧窮的大陸，目前正開始面臨一連串挑戰，而且很有機會成為足以媲美「亞洲老虎」的「非洲雄獅」。
非洲的優勢包括龐大未開採的資源、年輕的勞動人口、逐漸擴大的中產階級，抵消了猖獗的貧窮和不公平、伊斯蘭好戰份子的暴力行動和令人驚愕的基礎建設。
非洲開發銀行蒐集的資料顯示，印證非洲正在崛起的事實：2011年非洲人平均壽命由1950年的37歲增至58歲，小學就學率由1990年的52％升至2011年的77％。
根據伊布拉罕基金會（Mo Ibrahim Foundation）的資料，截至2013年為止的13年，非洲52國中有46國已改善治理能力，該基金會採取的指標包括安全和法治、人權和經濟進步。
倫敦Exotix Partners首席經濟學家柯佛豪斯（Stuart Culverhouse）表示：「非洲從我們所見到的改革中受益，也利用這種改革大步向前，逐漸變成像亞洲那樣強勁和快速成長、且更具包容力的地區。」
國際貨幣基金（IMF）7月24日預估，撒哈拉沙漠以南的非洲經濟體今明兩年將分別成長5.4％和5.8％，相較之下，美國僅1.7％和3％。IMF也預估，中國今明兩年分別成長7.4％和7.1％。
麥肯錫公司在7月24日的報告中表示，從現在到2030年，非洲最大經濟體奈及利亞每年的經濟成長率有達到約7.1％的潛力，這將使該國成為全球20大經濟體，人口總數超過法國與德國的總和。
非洲經濟比重 增3倍
另根據非洲聯盟和非洲經濟委員會所作的研究評估，到2050年，非洲佔全球經濟的比重可能增加3倍，人均所得可能暴增6倍，有14億非洲人口將晉升為中產階級，不過，前提是必須出現有能力的政府、務實的領導人、強健的民間機構、和平與安全以及尊重法治。
但和平對非洲好幾個國家而言，仍遙不可及。在奈及利亞，伊斯蘭激進組織「博科聖地」（Boko Haram）過去5年與奈國軍隊持續對抗，這場衝突還擴散至鄰國喀麥隆，今年上半年已導致2,053人死亡。
南蘇丹、中非共和國和索馬利亞也衝突不斷，與開打組織有關的索馬利亞好戰團體伊斯蘭青年黨，更對肯亞發動攻擊，導致數十人死亡。
南非NKC Independent Economists經濟學家威瑞尼（Jacques Verreynne）表示，儘管衝突影響了經濟發展，但過去幾十年受影響的國家明顯減少。
威瑞尼指出：「非洲整體的經濟前景非常正面，很多國家已累積了經年的審慎決策紀錄，他們的樂於改革，也持續吸引大量的外國直接投資（FDIs）。」
根據安永會計師事務所5月15日發布的「2014非洲吸引力調查」報告，2013年非洲佔全球FDIs比重達5.7％，高於10年前的3.6％。非洲開發銀行指出，2013年非洲有超過40萬家新公司登記。
市場尚未飽和
在迦納首都阿克拉經營房產出租和清潔公司的李文（Sebastian van Leeuwen）表示：「阿克拉有很多做生意的機會，市場尚未飽和，競爭對手也較少。」
紐約歐亞集團非洲部門主管羅森伯格（Mark Rosenberg）表示，非洲崛起這個命題的長期風險在於失業人口能否降低，目前非洲各國的成長速度能否為新湧入都會區的居民創造足夠的工作，還是個未知數。
http://iservice.ltn.com.tw/Service/english/english.php?engno=802743&day=2014-08-08
African lion rise of rival Asian tigers
2014-08-11
Reprinted freedom newsletters compile Mandaluyong Hill / special translation
Bloomberg reported that over the past 20 years, strong economic growth in Africa, the poorest continent in the past, are now beginning to face a series of challenges, but also a good chance to become comparable to the "Asian tigers" of "African lion."
Africa, including the huge advantage of untapped resources, young labor force, gradually expanding middle class, offset by rampant poverty and inequity, the infrastructure of Islamic militant violence and staggering.
African Development Bank to collect the information, confirmed the fact that Africa is on the rise: in 2011 the average life expectancy of Africans by 1950 the 37-year-old to 58 years old, primary school attendance rate of 52 percent in 1990 rose to 77% in 2011.
According to Ibrahim Abraham Foundation (Mo Ibrahim Foundation) data, as of 13 years ending in 2013, 52 countries in Africa, 46 countries have improved governance capacity, the Foundation adopted indicators including security and the rule of law, human rights and economic progress.
London Exotix Partners chief economist Ke Buddha House (Stuart Culverhouse) said: "We have seen in Africa to benefit from the reforms, but also take advantage of this reform step forward, becoming as strong and fast-growing as Asia, and more inclusive force area. "
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) 7 月 24 日 estimates, sub-Saharan Africa's economy will grow 5.4 percent next year and 5.8%, respectively, compared to the United States only 1.7% and 3%. IMF also predicts China to grow 7.4 percent next year and 7.1%, respectively.
McKinsey & Company in a report in the July 24 said that from now to 2030, Nigeria, Africa's largest economy has an annual economic growth rate of about 7.1 percent of the potential, which will enable the country to become the world's 20 largest economies, the total population more than France and Germany combined.
Economic growth three times the proportion of African
Also according to the African Union and the Economic Commission for Africa made by the Research Assessment, to 2050, Africa's share of global GDP may increase three times the per capita income jumped 6 times may have 1.4 billion population of Africa will be promoted to the middle class, however, the premise must appear competent government, pragmatic leader, strong civil institutions, peace and security and respect for the rule of law.
But peace in several countries in Africa, is still out of reach. In Nigeria, the Islamic militant group "Boko Haram" (Boko Haram) in the past five years and the Nigerians continued military confrontation, the conflict also spread to neighboring Cameroon, in the first half of this year has resulted in 2,053 deaths.
South Sudan, the Central African Republic and Somalia are conflicts, Somalia militant groups and open play Islamic youth organization of the party, and more attacks on Kenya, resulting in dozens of deaths.
South Africa NKC Independent Economists economist Wei Ruini (Jacques Verreynne) said that despite the conflict affected the economic development, but significantly reduced over the last few decades of the affected countries.
Wei Ruini said: "Africa's overall economic outlook is very positive, and many countries have accumulated a record of prudent decision-making for years, and they are willing to reform, has continued to attract large amounts of foreign direct investment (FDIs)."
According to "2014 Africa attractiveness survey" report by Ernst & Young released May 15, 2013 Africa's share of total global FDIs amounted to 5.7%, up from 3.6 percent 10 years ago. African Development Bank noted that in 2013 Africa had more than 400,000 new companies registered.
The market is not saturated
In Accra, Ghana real estate rental and cleaning company operating Levin (Sebastian van Leeuwen) said: "There are many opportunities to do business in Accra, the market is not saturated, fewer competitors."
Niuyueouya Group of African department heads Rosenberg (Mark Rosenberg), said the rise in Africa's long-term risk is that this proposition can reduce the unemployed, the current growth rate of African countries could create enough for a new influx of residents in the metropolitan area work is unknown.
http://iservice.ltn.com.tw/Service/english/english.php?engno=802743&day=2014-08-08 African lion rise of rival Asian tigers
2014-08-11
Reprinted freedom newsletters compile Mandaluyong Hill / special translation
Bloomberg reported that over the past 20 years, strong economic growth in Africa, the poorest continent in the past, are now beginning to face a series of challenges, but also a good chance to become comparable to the "Asian tigers" of "African lion."
Africa, including the huge advantage of untapped resources, young labor force, gradually expanding middle class, offset by rampant poverty and inequity, the infrastructure of Islamic militant violence and staggering.
African Development Bank to collect the information, confirmed the fact that Africa is on the rise: in 2011 the average life expectancy of Africans by 1950 the 37-year-old to 58 years old, primary school attendance rate of 52 percent in 1990 rose to 77% in 2011.
According to Ibrahim Abraham Foundation (Mo Ibrahim Foundation) data, as of 13 years ending in 2013, 52 countries in Africa, 46 countries have improved governance capacity, the Foundation adopted indicators including security and the rule of law, human rights and economic progress.
London Exotix Partners chief economist Ke Buddha House (Stuart Culverhouse) said: "We have seen in Africa to benefit from the reforms, but also take advantage of this reform step forward, becoming as strong and fast-growing as Asia, and more inclusive force area. "
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) 7 月 24 日 estimates, sub-Saharan Africa's economy will grow 5.4 percent next year and 5.8%, respectively, compared to the United States only 1.7% and 3%. IMF also predicts China to grow 7.4 percent next year and 7.1%, respectively.
McKinsey & Company in a report in the July 24 said that from now to 2030, Nigeria, Africa's largest economy has an annual economic growth rate of about 7.1 percent of the potential, which will enable the country to become the world's 20 largest economies, the total population more than France and Germany combined.
Economic growth three times the proportion of African
Also according to the African Union and the Economic Commission for Africa made by the Research Assessment, to 2050, Africa's share of global GDP may increase three times the per capita income jumped 6 times may have 1.4 billion population of Africa will be promoted to the middle class, however, the premise must appear competent government, pragmatic leader, strong civil institutions, peace and security and respect for the rule of law.
But peace in several countries in Africa, is still out of reach. In Nigeria, the Islamic militant group "Boko Haram" (Boko Haram) in the past five years and the Nigerians continued military confrontation, the conflict also spread to neighboring Cameroon, in the first half of this year has resulted in 2,053 deaths.
South Sudan, the Central African Republic and Somalia are conflicts, Somalia militant groups and open play Islamic youth organization of the party, and more attacks on Kenya, resulting in dozens of deaths.
South Africa NKC Independent Economists economist Wei Ruini (Jacques Verreynne) said that despite the conflict affected the economic development, but significantly reduced over the last few decades of the affected countries.
Wei Ruini said: "Africa's overall economic outlook is very positive, and many countries have accumulated a record of prudent decision-making for years, and they are willing to reform, has continued to attract large amounts of foreign direct investment (FDIs)."
According to "2014 Africa attractiveness survey" report by Ernst & Young released May 15, 2013 Africa's share of total global FDIs amounted to 5.7%, up from 3.6 percent 10 years ago. African Development Bank noted that in 2013 Africa had more than 400,000 new companies registered.
The market is not saturated
In Accra, Ghana real estate rental and cleaning company operating Levin (Sebastian van Leeuwen) said: "There are many opportunities to do business in Accra, the market is not saturated, fewer competitors."
Niuyueouya Group of African department heads Rosenberg (Mark Rosenberg), said the rise in Africa's long-term risk is that this proposition can reduce the unemployed, the current growth rate of African countries could create enough for a new influx of residents in the metropolitan area work is unknown.
http://iservice.ltn.com.tw/Service/english/english.php?engno=802743&day=2014-08-08
2014-08-11
轉載自由電子報 編譯盧永山／特譯
彭博報導，過去20年非洲經濟強勁成長，這個過去貧窮的大陸，目前正開始面臨一連串挑戰，而且很有機會成為足以媲美「亞洲老虎」的「非洲雄獅」。
非洲的優勢包括龐大未開採的資源、年輕的勞動人口、逐漸擴大的中產階級，抵消了猖獗的貧窮和不公平、伊斯蘭好戰份子的暴力行動和令人驚愕的基礎建設。
非洲開發銀行蒐集的資料顯示，印證非洲正在崛起的事實：2011年非洲人平均壽命由1950年的37歲增至58歲，小學就學率由1990年的52％升至2011年的77％。
根據伊布拉罕基金會（Mo Ibrahim Foundation）的資料，截至2013年為止的13年，非洲52國中有46國已改善治理能力，該基金會採取的指標包括安全和法治、人權和經濟進步。
倫敦Exotix Partners首席經濟學家柯佛豪斯（Stuart Culverhouse）表示：「非洲從我們所見到的改革中受益，也利用這種改革大步向前，逐漸變成像亞洲那樣強勁和快速成長、且更具包容力的地區。」
國際貨幣基金（IMF）7月24日預估，撒哈拉沙漠以南的非洲經濟體今明兩年將分別成長5.4％和5.8％，相較之下，美國僅1.7％和3％。IMF也預估，中國今明兩年分別成長7.4％和7.1％。
麥肯錫公司在7月24日的報告中表示，從現在到2030年，非洲最大經濟體奈及利亞每年的經濟成長率有達到約7.1％的潛力，這將使該國成為全球20大經濟體，人口總數超過法國與德國的總和。
非洲經濟比重 增3倍
另根據非洲聯盟和非洲經濟委員會所作的研究評估，到2050年，非洲佔全球經濟的比重可能增加3倍，人均所得可能暴增6倍，有14億非洲人口將晉升為中產階級，不過，前提是必須出現有能力的政府、務實的領導人、強健的民間機構、和平與安全以及尊重法治。
但和平對非洲好幾個國家而言，仍遙不可及。在奈及利亞，伊斯蘭激進組織「博科聖地」（Boko Haram）過去5年與奈國軍隊持續對抗，這場衝突還擴散至鄰國喀麥隆，今年上半年已導致2,053人死亡。
南蘇丹、中非共和國和索馬利亞也衝突不斷，與開打組織有關的索馬利亞好戰團體伊斯蘭青年黨，更對肯亞發動攻擊，導致數十人死亡。
南非NKC Independent Economists經濟學家威瑞尼（Jacques Verreynne）表示，儘管衝突影響了經濟發展，但過去幾十年受影響的國家明顯減少。
威瑞尼指出：「非洲整體的經濟前景非常正面，很多國家已累積了經年的審慎決策紀錄，他們的樂於改革，也持續吸引大量的外國直接投資（FDIs）。」
根據安永會計師事務所5月15日發布的「2014非洲吸引力調查」報告，2013年非洲佔全球FDIs比重達5.7％，高於10年前的3.6％。非洲開發銀行指出，2013年非洲有超過40萬家新公司登記。
市場尚未飽和
在迦納首都阿克拉經營房產出租和清潔公司的李文（Sebastian van Leeuwen）表示：「阿克拉有很多做生意的機會，市場尚未飽和，競爭對手也較少。」
紐約歐亞集團非洲部門主管羅森伯格（Mark Rosenberg）表示，非洲崛起這個命題的長期風險在於失業人口能否降低，目前非洲各國的成長速度能否為新湧入都會區的居民創造足夠的工作，還是個未知數。
http://iservice.ltn.com.tw/Service/english/english.php?engno=802743&day=2014-08-08
African lion rise of rival Asian tigers
2014-08-11
Reprinted freedom newsletters compile Mandaluyong Hill / special translation
Bloomberg reported that over the past 20 years, strong economic growth in Africa, the poorest continent in the past, are now beginning to face a series of challenges, but also a good chance to become comparable to the "Asian tigers" of "African lion."
Africa, including the huge advantage of untapped resources, young labor force, gradually expanding middle class, offset by rampant poverty and inequity, the infrastructure of Islamic militant violence and staggering.
African Development Bank to collect the information, confirmed the fact that Africa is on the rise: in 2011 the average life expectancy of Africans by 1950 the 37-year-old to 58 years old, primary school attendance rate of 52 percent in 1990 rose to 77% in 2011.
According to Ibrahim Abraham Foundation (Mo Ibrahim Foundation) data, as of 13 years ending in 2013, 52 countries in Africa, 46 countries have improved governance capacity, the Foundation adopted indicators including security and the rule of law, human rights and economic progress.
London Exotix Partners chief economist Ke Buddha House (Stuart Culverhouse) said: "We have seen in Africa to benefit from the reforms, but also take advantage of this reform step forward, becoming as strong and fast-growing as Asia, and more inclusive force area. "
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) 7 月 24 日 estimates, sub-Saharan Africa's economy will grow 5.4 percent next year and 5.8%, respectively, compared to the United States only 1.7% and 3%. IMF also predicts China to grow 7.4 percent next year and 7.1%, respectively.
McKinsey & Company in a report in the July 24 said that from now to 2030, Nigeria, Africa's largest economy has an annual economic growth rate of about 7.1 percent of the potential, which will enable the country to become the world's 20 largest economies, the total population more than France and Germany combined.
Economic growth three times the proportion of African
Also according to the African Union and the Economic Commission for Africa made by the Research Assessment, to 2050, Africa's share of global GDP may increase three times the per capita income jumped 6 times may have 1.4 billion population of Africa will be promoted to the middle class, however, the premise must appear competent government, pragmatic leader, strong civil institutions, peace and security and respect for the rule of law.
But peace in several countries in Africa, is still out of reach. In Nigeria, the Islamic militant group "Boko Haram" (Boko Haram) in the past five years and the Nigerians continued military confrontation, the conflict also spread to neighboring Cameroon, in the first half of this year has resulted in 2,053 deaths.
South Sudan, the Central African Republic and Somalia are conflicts, Somalia militant groups and open play Islamic youth organization of the party, and more attacks on Kenya, resulting in dozens of deaths.
South Africa NKC Independent Economists economist Wei Ruini (Jacques Verreynne) said that despite the conflict affected the economic development, but significantly reduced over the last few decades of the affected countries.
Wei Ruini said: "Africa's overall economic outlook is very positive, and many countries have accumulated a record of prudent decision-making for years, and they are willing to reform, has continued to attract large amounts of foreign direct investment (FDIs)."
According to "2014 Africa attractiveness survey" report by Ernst & Young released May 15, 2013 Africa's share of total global FDIs amounted to 5.7%, up from 3.6 percent 10 years ago. African Development Bank noted that in 2013 Africa had more than 400,000 new companies registered.
The market is not saturated
In Accra, Ghana real estate rental and cleaning company operating Levin (Sebastian van Leeuwen) said: "There are many opportunities to do business in Accra, the market is not saturated, fewer competitors."
Niuyueouya Group of African department heads Rosenberg (Mark Rosenberg), said the rise in Africa's long-term risk is that this proposition can reduce the unemployed, the current growth rate of African countries could create enough for a new influx of residents in the metropolitan area work is unknown.
http://iservice.ltn.com.tw/Service/english/english.php?engno=802743&day=2014-08-08 African lion rise of rival Asian tigers
2014-08-11
Reprinted freedom newsletters compile Mandaluyong Hill / special translation
Bloomberg reported that over the past 20 years, strong economic growth in Africa, the poorest continent in the past, are now beginning to face a series of challenges, but also a good chance to become comparable to the "Asian tigers" of "African lion."
Africa, including the huge advantage of untapped resources, young labor force, gradually expanding middle class, offset by rampant poverty and inequity, the infrastructure of Islamic militant violence and staggering.
African Development Bank to collect the information, confirmed the fact that Africa is on the rise: in 2011 the average life expectancy of Africans by 1950 the 37-year-old to 58 years old, primary school attendance rate of 52 percent in 1990 rose to 77% in 2011.
According to Ibrahim Abraham Foundation (Mo Ibrahim Foundation) data, as of 13 years ending in 2013, 52 countries in Africa, 46 countries have improved governance capacity, the Foundation adopted indicators including security and the rule of law, human rights and economic progress.
London Exotix Partners chief economist Ke Buddha House (Stuart Culverhouse) said: "We have seen in Africa to benefit from the reforms, but also take advantage of this reform step forward, becoming as strong and fast-growing as Asia, and more inclusive force area. "
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) 7 月 24 日 estimates, sub-Saharan Africa's economy will grow 5.4 percent next year and 5.8%, respectively, compared to the United States only 1.7% and 3%. IMF also predicts China to grow 7.4 percent next year and 7.1%, respectively.
McKinsey & Company in a report in the July 24 said that from now to 2030, Nigeria, Africa's largest economy has an annual economic growth rate of about 7.1 percent of the potential, which will enable the country to become the world's 20 largest economies, the total population more than France and Germany combined.
Economic growth three times the proportion of African
Also according to the African Union and the Economic Commission for Africa made by the Research Assessment, to 2050, Africa's share of global GDP may increase three times the per capita income jumped 6 times may have 1.4 billion population of Africa will be promoted to the middle class, however, the premise must appear competent government, pragmatic leader, strong civil institutions, peace and security and respect for the rule of law.
But peace in several countries in Africa, is still out of reach. In Nigeria, the Islamic militant group "Boko Haram" (Boko Haram) in the past five years and the Nigerians continued military confrontation, the conflict also spread to neighboring Cameroon, in the first half of this year has resulted in 2,053 deaths.
South Sudan, the Central African Republic and Somalia are conflicts, Somalia militant groups and open play Islamic youth organization of the party, and more attacks on Kenya, resulting in dozens of deaths.
South Africa NKC Independent Economists economist Wei Ruini (Jacques Verreynne) said that despite the conflict affected the economic development, but significantly reduced over the last few decades of the affected countries.
Wei Ruini said: "Africa's overall economic outlook is very positive, and many countries have accumulated a record of prudent decision-making for years, and they are willing to reform, has continued to attract large amounts of foreign direct investment (FDIs)."
According to "2014 Africa attractiveness survey" report by Ernst & Young released May 15, 2013 Africa's share of total global FDIs amounted to 5.7%, up from 3.6 percent 10 years ago. African Development Bank noted that in 2013 Africa had more than 400,000 new companies registered.
The market is not saturated
In Accra, Ghana real estate rental and cleaning company operating Levin (Sebastian van Leeuwen) said: "There are many opportunities to do business in Accra, the market is not saturated, fewer competitors."
Niuyueouya Group of African department heads Rosenberg (Mark Rosenberg), said the rise in Africa's long-term risk is that this proposition can reduce the unemployed, the current growth rate of African countries could create enough for a new influx of residents in the metropolitan area work is unknown.
http://iservice.ltn.com.tw/Service/english/english.php?engno=802743&day=2014-08-08
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